Ollie Watkins
#14 - Aston Villa
2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)
AutoUnnumbered Card
Print run unknown
0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced
Model A: Deterministic
Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A
Model B: Bayesian
Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.
Confidence Score
Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0
$256.79
Avg Sale Price
$179.36 - $353.24
Price Range
7
Recent Sales
eBay Price History
Last 60 days of sales data-4.1%
7 sales tracked$179
Low
$257
Average
$353
High
-10
Change
| Title | Price | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto | $236.63 | 3/14/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto | $226.01 | 2/19/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto | $245.40 | 2/19/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto | $179.36 | 1/26/2026 | View |
| 2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 10 | $353.24 | 1/24/2026 | View |
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 543 (38.7%)
BGS: 861 (61.3%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant
BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.
Grade Equivalency Guide:
- BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
- BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
- BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
- BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)
PSA Population Report
543
Total Graded
97
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
206
PSA 9 (Mint)
17.9%
PSA 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
PSA 10
97
17.9%
PSA 9
206
37.9%
PSA 8.5
43
7.9%
PSA 8
65
12.0%
PSA 7
54
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
35
6.4%
Estimated Graded Values
PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25
* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.
BGS Population Report
861
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
183
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.3%
BGS 9.5+ Rate
Grade Distribution
BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.5%
BGS 10(Pristine)
22
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
183
21.3%
BGS 9(Mint)
322
37.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
104
12.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
92
10.7%
BGS 7.5-
134
15.6%
Estimated Graded Values
BGS 10BL
$488
$366-$732
BGS 10
$244
$183-$305
BGS 9.5
$122
$92-$153
BGS 9
$73
$61-$92
BGS 8.5
$55
$43-$67
BGS 8
$43
$31-$55
* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.
SGC Population Report
478
Total Graded
57
SGC 10 (Pristine)
115
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate
Grade Distribution
SGC 10
57(11.9%)
SGC 9.5
115(24.1%)
SGC 9
185(38.7%)
SGC 8.5
62(13%)
SGC 8
56(11.7%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
SGC Estimated Graded Values
SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97
* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.
Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate
Value Analysis
$315
Expected Value
$90 - $385
Value Range
+$128
Potential Gain
-$167
Potential Loss
BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.
Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$391
Expected Value
+$79
Expected Profit
+25%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended
Cost Breakdown
$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance
Predicted Outcomes
PSA 10
5%
$899
+$587
PSA 9
35%
$462
+$150
PSA 8
35%
$334
+$22
PSA 7
18%
$282
$-30
PSA 6
7%
$244
$-68
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better
Positive expected ROI of 25%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.
Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.