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Trent Alexander-Arnold card

Trent Alexander-Arnold

#15 - Liverpool

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$198.87
Avg Sale Price
$150.54 - $272.49
Price Range
4
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-14.1%
4 sales tracked
Feb 2Feb 17Feb 19Mar 11$138.345$178.345$218.345$284.685Avg: $199
$151
Low
$199
Average
$272
High
-25
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Trent Alexander-Arnold Auto PSA 9$150.543/11/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Trent Alexander-Arnold Auto PSA 10$272.492/19/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Trent Alexander-Arnold Auto PSA 9$197.292/17/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Trent Alexander-Arnold Auto$175.172/2/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,543 (64%)
BGS: 868 (36%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,543
Total Graded
277
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
740
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
277
18.0%
PSA 9
740
48.0%
PSA 8.5
123
8.0%
PSA 8
185
12.0%
PSA 7
154
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-59
-3.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
868
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
191
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
21
2.4%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
191
22.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
331
38.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
112
12.9%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
99
11.4%
BGS 7.5-
109
12.6%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$576
$432-$864
BGS 10
$288
$216-$360
BGS 9.5
$144
$108-$180
BGS 9
$86
$72-$108
BGS 8.5
$65
$50-$79
BGS 8
$50
$36-$65

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
485
Total Graded
69
SGC 10 (Pristine)
98
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
69(14.2%)
SGC 9.5
98(20.2%)
SGC 9
200(41.2%)
SGC 8.5
59(12.2%)
SGC 8
56(11.5%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$339
$266 - $424
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$218
$169 - $266
SGC 9 (Mint)
$169
$133 - $206
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$133
$109 - $157
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$109
$85 - $133
SGC 7 (NM)
$85
$61 - $109

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$244
Expected Value
$70 - $298
Value Range
+$99
Potential Gain
-$129
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$303
Expected Value
+$49
Expected Profit
+19%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$696
+$442
PSA 9
35%
$358
+$104
PSA 8
35%
$259
+$5
PSA 7
18%
$219
$-35
PSA 6
7%
$189
$-65
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 19%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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