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Ollie Watkins card

Ollie Watkins

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Select Premier League (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$175.69
Avg Sale Price
$124.63 - $244.27
Price Range
8
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+44.9%
8 sales tracked
Jan 22Feb 2Feb 12Feb 13Feb 21Mar 4Mar 5Mar 13$112.666$152.666$192.666$256.23400000000004Avg: $176
$125
Low
$176
Average
$244
High
+56
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto BGS 9.5$180.623/13/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto BGS 9.5$201.383/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto PSA 10$184.323/4/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto$130.442/21/2026View
2025 2024-25 Select Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto SGC 10$244.272/13/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,544 (84.5%)
BGS: 284 (15.5%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,544
Total Graded
293
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
756
PSA 9 (Mint)
19.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
293
19.0%
PSA 9
756
49.0%
PSA 8.5
123
8.0%
PSA 8
185
12.0%
PSA 7
154
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-90
-5.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
284
Total Graded
2
BGS 10 (Black Label)
83
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
29.2%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
2
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
8
2.8%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
83
29.2%
BGS 9(Mint)
118
41.5%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
44
15.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
24
8.5%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.8%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,488
$1116-$2232
BGS 10
$744
$558-$930
BGS 9.5
$372
$279-$465
BGS 9
$223
$186-$279
BGS 8.5
$167
$130-$205
BGS 8
$130
$93-$167

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
746
Total Graded
105
SGC 10 (Pristine)
175
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
105(14.1%)
SGC 9.5
175(23.5%)
SGC 9
277(37.1%)
SGC 8.5
100(13.4%)
SGC 8
82(11%)
SGC 7-
7(0.9%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$215
Expected Value
$61 - $264
Value Range
+$88
Potential Gain
-$114
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$268
Expected Value
+$37
Expected Profit
+16%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$615
+$384
PSA 9
35%
$316
+$85
PSA 8
35%
$228
$-3
PSA 7
18%
$193
$-38
PSA 6
7%
$167
$-64
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 16%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will grading Ollie Watkins raw to PSA 10 yield 3x+ ROI within 90 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in