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Declan Rice card

Declan Rice

#9 - Arsenal

2024-25 Topps Match Attax (2025)

Black /1 /1

Cards Remaining

Good availability

Black /1
1
Total Print Run
0
Documented
1
Still Available
0 seen (0.0%)1 remaining (100.0%)

0 of 1 copies have been documented.

1 copies could still be pulled from packs!

Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print Run1
Verified Sightings0
Publicly Remaining1

Model B: Bayesian

Visibility Factor (f)15%
P(Still Unpulled)88.3%
Expected Remaining0.9

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$7.09
Avg Sale Price
$4.71 - $9.87
Price Range
13
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+38.7%
13 sales tracked
Jan 17Jan 19Jan 27Jan 29Feb 2Feb 2Feb 9Feb 12Feb 16Feb 19Feb 22Mar 11Mar 11$4.194$6.194$8.194$10.386Avg: $7
$5
Low
$7
Average
$10
High
+3
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Declan Rice Black /1 PSA 10$9.543/11/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Declan Rice Black /1 PSA 10$9.393/11/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Declan Rice Black /1 BGS 9.5$7.672/22/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Declan Rice Black /1 PSA 10$7.642/19/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Declan Rice Black /1 PSA 10$9.872/16/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,553 (61.4%)
BGS: 976 (38.6%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,553
Total Graded
279
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
590
PSA 9 (Mint)
18.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
279
18.0%
PSA 9
590
38.0%
PSA 8.5
124
8.0%
PSA 8
186
12.0%
PSA 7
155
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
95
6.1%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
976
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
221
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
22.6%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
19
1.9%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
221
22.6%
BGS 9(Mint)
357
36.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
133
13.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
108
11.1%
BGS 7.5-
132
13.5%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$448
$336-$672
BGS 10
$224
$168-$280
BGS 9.5
$112
$84-$140
BGS 9
$67
$56-$84
BGS 8.5
$50
$39-$62
BGS 8
$39
$28-$50

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
206
Total Graded
35
SGC 10 (Pristine)
49
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
17%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
35(17%)
SGC 9.5
49(23.8%)
SGC 9
79(38.3%)
SGC 8.5
20(9.7%)
SGC 8
20(9.7%)
SGC 7-
3(1.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$9
Expected Value
$2 - $11
Value Range
+$4
Potential Gain
-$5
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$11
Expected Value
$-51
Expected Profit
-82%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$25
$-37
PSA 9
35%
$13
$-49
PSA 8
35%
$9
$-53
PSA 7
18%
$8
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$7
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -82%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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