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Ollie Watkins card

Ollie Watkins

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Topps Match Attax (2025)

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Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$250.41
Avg Sale Price
$230.20 - $264.71
Price Range
4
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-8.2%
4 sales tracked
Jan 25Feb 1Feb 5Feb 24$226.749$241.749$268.161Avg: $250
$230
Low
$250
Average
$265
High
-21
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Ollie Watkins Auto$230.202/24/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Ollie Watkins Auto BGS 9.5$255.852/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 10$264.712/1/2026View
2025 2024-25 Topps Match Attax Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 9$250.891/25/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,554 (79.9%)
BGS: 392 (20.1%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,554
Total Graded
295
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
606
PSA 9 (Mint)
19.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
295
19.0%
PSA 9
606
39.0%
PSA 8.5
124
8.0%
PSA 8
186
12.0%
PSA 7
155
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
64
4.1%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
392
Total Graded
3
BGS 10 (Black Label)
113
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
28.8%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
3
0.8%
BGS 10(Pristine)
9
2.3%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
113
28.8%
BGS 9(Mint)
161
41.1%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
52
13.3%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
49
12.5%
BGS 7.5-
5
1.3%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$688
$516-$1032
BGS 10
$344
$258-$430
BGS 9.5
$172
$129-$215
BGS 9
$103
$86-$129
BGS 8.5
$77
$60-$95
BGS 8
$60
$43-$77

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
496
Total Graded
65
SGC 10 (Pristine)
115
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
65(13.1%)
SGC 9.5
115(23.2%)
SGC 9
174(35.1%)
SGC 8.5
60(12.1%)
SGC 8
59(11.9%)
SGC 7-
23(4.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$307
Expected Value
$88 - $376
Value Range
+$125
Potential Gain
-$163
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$382
Expected Value
+$77
Expected Profit
+25%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$876
+$571
PSA 9
35%
$451
+$146
PSA 8
35%
$326
+$21
PSA 7
18%
$275
$-30
PSA 6
7%
$238
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 25%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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