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Alexander Isak card

Alexander Isak

#13 - Newcastle United

2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League (2025)

Refractor

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$11.17
Avg Sale Price
$7.36 - $15.09
Price Range
15
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+2.1%
15 sales tracked
Jan 29Jan 29Jan 31Feb 1Feb 3Feb 4Feb 12Feb 14Feb 18Feb 18Feb 26Feb 27Mar 7Mar 9Mar 10$6.587000000000001$9.587000000000002$12.587000000000002$15.863Avg: $11
$7
Low
$11
Average
$15
High
+0
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Refractor BGS 9.5$11.383/10/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Refractor PSA 9$8.823/9/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Refractor PSA 10$14.683/7/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Refractor$8.582/27/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Refractor$10.462/26/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,557 (63.3%)
BGS: 904 (36.7%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,557
Total Graded
342
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
731
PSA 9 (Mint)
22.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
342
22.0%
PSA 9
731
46.9%
PSA 8.5
124
8.0%
PSA 8
186
11.9%
PSA 7
155
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-105
-6.7%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
904
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
184
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
20.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
18
2.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
184
20.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
340
37.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
112
12.4%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
94
10.4%
BGS 7.5-
151
16.7%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,200
$900-$1800
BGS 10
$600
$450-$750
BGS 9.5
$300
$225-$375
BGS 9
$180
$150-$225
BGS 8.5
$135
$105-$165
BGS 8
$105
$75-$135

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
710
Total Graded
85
SGC 10 (Pristine)
162
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
12%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
85(12%)
SGC 9.5
162(22.8%)
SGC 9
258(36.3%)
SGC 8.5
90(12.7%)
SGC 8
79(11.1%)
SGC 7-
36(5.1%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$14
Expected Value
$4 - $17
Value Range
+$6
Potential Gain
-$7
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$17
Expected Value
$-49
Expected Profit
-74%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$39
$-27
PSA 9
35%
$20
$-46
PSA 8
35%
$15
$-51
PSA 7
18%
$12
$-54
PSA 6
7%
$11
$-55

Negative expected ROI of -74%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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