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Ollie Watkins card

Ollie Watkins

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League (2025)

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Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$81.91
Avg Sale Price
$65.82 - $104.49
Price Range
6
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-2.2%
6 sales tracked
Jan 16Jan 28Feb 7Feb 10Feb 13Mar 14$61.952999999999996$76.953$91.953$108.357Avg: $82
$66
Low
$82
Average
$104
High
-1
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto$65.823/14/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 10$100.822/13/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto$78.142/10/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto$74.902/7/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Auto PSA 10$104.491/28/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 565 (44.3%)
BGS: 711 (55.7%)
Market Preference:Evenly Split

Both grading services are popular for this card. Choose based on your preference.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
565
Total Graded
113
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
225
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.0%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
113
20.0%
PSA 9
225
39.8%
PSA 8.5
45
8.0%
PSA 8
67
11.9%
PSA 7
56
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
14
2.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
711
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
153
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.5%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
21
3.0%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
153
21.5%
BGS 9(Mint)
279
39.2%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
96
13.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
72
10.1%
BGS 7.5-
86
12.1%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$888
$666-$1332
BGS 10
$444
$333-$555
BGS 9.5
$222
$167-$278
BGS 9
$133
$111-$167
BGS 8.5
$100
$78-$122
BGS 8
$78
$56-$100

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
525
Total Graded
73
SGC 10 (Pristine)
115
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
14%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
73(13.9%)
SGC 9.5
115(21.9%)
SGC 9
198(37.7%)
SGC 8.5
73(13.9%)
SGC 8
63(12%)
SGC 7-
3(0.6%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$302
$238 - $378
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$194
$151 - $238
SGC 9 (Mint)
$151
$119 - $184
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$119
$97 - $140
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$97
$76 - $119
SGC 7 (NM)
$76
$54 - $97

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$100
Expected Value
$29 - $123
Value Range
+$41
Potential Gain
-$53
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$125
Expected Value
$-12
Expected Profit
-9%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Not Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$287
+$150
PSA 9
35%
$147
+$10
PSA 8
35%
$106
$-31
PSA 7
18%
$90
$-47
PSA 6
7%
$78
$-59
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Negative expected ROI of -9%. The grading cost exceeds the likely value increase. Consider a lower service tier or skip grading.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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