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Alexander Isak card

Alexander Isak

#13 - Newcastle United

2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$169.64
Avg Sale Price
$138.93 - $196.16
Price Range
4
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-28.4%
4 sales tracked
Jan 14Feb 23Feb 25Mar 5$133.207$153.207$173.207$201.88299999999998Avg: $170
$139
Low
$170
Average
$196
High
-55
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Patch Auto$138.933/5/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Patch Auto SGC 10$196.162/25/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Patch Auto$149.392/23/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Alexander Isak Patch Auto PSA 10$194.071/14/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 566 (39.2%)
BGS: 879 (60.8%)
Market Preference:BGS Dominant

BGS is the preferred grading service for this card. BGS 9.5s may command premium prices.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
566
Total Graded
118
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
232
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.8%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
118
20.8%
PSA 9
232
41.0%
PSA 8.5
45
8.0%
PSA 8
67
11.8%
PSA 7
56
9.9%
PSA 6 & Below
3
0.5%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
879
Total Graded
5
BGS 10 (Black Label)
204
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
23.2%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
5
0.6%
BGS 10(Pristine)
24
2.7%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
204
23.2%
BGS 9(Mint)
346
39.4%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
124
14.1%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
91
10.4%
BGS 7.5-
85
9.7%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$600
$450-$900
BGS 10
$300
$225-$375
BGS 9.5
$150
$113-$188
BGS 9
$90
$75-$113
BGS 8.5
$68
$53-$83
BGS 8
$53
$38-$68

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
202
Total Graded
37
SGC 10 (Pristine)
42
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
18%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
37(18.3%)
SGC 9.5
42(20.8%)
SGC 9
64(31.7%)
SGC 8.5
27(13.4%)
SGC 8
29(14.4%)
SGC 7-
3(1.5%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$448
$352 - $560
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$288
$224 - $352
SGC 9 (Mint)
$224
$176 - $272
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$176
$144 - $208
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$144
$112 - $176
SGC 7 (NM)
$112
$80 - $144

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$208
Expected Value
$59 - $254
Value Range
+$85
Potential Gain
-$110
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$259
Expected Value
+$34
Expected Profit
+15%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$594
+$369
PSA 9
35%
$305
+$80
PSA 8
35%
$221
$-4
PSA 7
18%
$187
$-38
PSA 6
7%
$161
$-64
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 15%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will Alexander Isak PSA 10 population hit a new milestone (next 100 threshold) within 45 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in