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Ollie Watkins card

Ollie Watkins

#14 - Aston Villa

2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$157.39
Avg Sale Price
$110.39 - $197.31
Price Range
7
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
+13.1%
7 sales tracked
Jan 28Feb 15Feb 24Feb 25Feb 28Mar 1Mar 2$101.69800000000001$131.698$161.698$206.002Avg: $157
$110
Low
$157
Average
$197
High
+23
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto PSA 10$197.313/2/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto PSA 10$163.103/1/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto PSA 9$128.732/28/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto$110.392/25/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Ollie Watkins Patch Auto SGC 10$191.002/24/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,566 (63.9%)
BGS: 886 (36.1%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,566
Total Graded
328
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
563
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
328
20.9%
PSA 9
563
36.0%
PSA 8.5
125
8.0%
PSA 8
187
11.9%
PSA 7
156
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
82
5.2%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
886
Total Graded
6
BGS 10 (Black Label)
213
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
24.0%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
6
0.7%
BGS 10(Pristine)
23
2.6%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
213
24.0%
BGS 9(Mint)
316
35.7%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
112
12.6%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
99
11.2%
BGS 7.5-
117
13.2%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$688
$516-$1032
BGS 10
$344
$258-$430
BGS 9.5
$172
$129-$215
BGS 9
$103
$86-$129
BGS 8.5
$77
$60-$95
BGS 8
$60
$43-$77

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
219
Total Graded
29
SGC 10 (Pristine)
55
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
13%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
29(13.2%)
SGC 9.5
55(25.1%)
SGC 9
79(36.1%)
SGC 8.5
24(11%)
SGC 8
29(13.2%)
SGC 7-
3(1.4%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$484
$381 - $606
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$311
$242 - $381
SGC 9 (Mint)
$242
$190 - $294
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$190
$156 - $225
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$156
$121 - $190
SGC 7 (NM)
$121
$87 - $156

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$193
Expected Value
$55 - $236
Value Range
+$79
Potential Gain
-$102
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$240
Expected Value
+$28
Expected Profit
+13%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Consider Carefully

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$551
+$339
PSA 9
35%
$283
+$71
PSA 8
35%
$205
$-7
PSA 7
18%
$173
$-39
PSA 6
7%
$150
$-62
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Marginal ROI of 13%. Consider grading only if you need authentication or plan to hold long-term. Break-even requires 10.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

Community Sentiment

How community odds have shifted over time for active predictions on this card.

Will the total graded population of Ollie Watkins exceed current count by 20% within 60 days?

Sentiment data will appear as votes come in