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Vinicius Jr card

Vinicius Jr

#22 - Real Madrid

2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League (2025)

Patch Auto

Unnumbered Card

Print run unknown

0
copies documented so far
Show detailed probability modelsAdvanced

Model A: Deterministic

Print RunUnnumbered
Verified Sightings0
Publicly RemainingN/A

Model B: Bayesian

Model B requires a numbered parallel to calculate Bayesian estimates.

Confidence Score

Low (0/100)
Coverage: 0 | Sources: 0 | Maturity: 0

Market Sales Data

$239.39
Avg Sale Price
$187.42 - $358.08
Price Range
6
Recent Sales

eBay Price History

Last 60 days of sales data
-42.2%
6 sales tracked
Jan 28Feb 1Feb 12Feb 17Feb 18Mar 11$170.35399999999998$225.35399999999998$280.354$375.14599999999996Avg: $239
$187
Low
$239
Average
$358
High
-151
Change
TitlePriceDateLink
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Vinicius Jr Patch Auto BGS 9.5$206.903/11/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Vinicius Jr Patch Auto$187.422/18/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Vinicius Jr Patch Auto$206.032/17/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Vinicius Jr Patch Auto PSA 9$226.582/12/2026View
2025 2024-25 Panini Donruss Elite Premier League Vinicius Jr Patch Auto PSA 9$251.322/1/2026View
Grading Service Comparison
PSA
BGS
PSA: 1,566 (63.1%)
BGS: 914 (36.9%)
Market Preference:PSA Dominant

PSA is the dominant grading choice for this card. Consider PSA for better liquidity.

Grade Equivalency Guide:

  • BGS 10 Black Label ≈ Ultra-rare (no PSA equivalent)
  • BGS 9.5 Gem Mint ≈ PSA 10 Gem Mint
  • BGS 9 Mint ≈ PSA 9 Mint
  • BGS provides subgrades (Centering, Corners, Edges, Surface)

PSA Population Report

Demo Data
1,566
Total Graded
328
PSA 10 (Gem Mint)
720
PSA 9 (Mint)
20.9%
PSA 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

PSA 10
328
20.9%
PSA 9
720
46.0%
PSA 8.5
125
8.0%
PSA 8
187
11.9%
PSA 7
156
10.0%
PSA 6 & Below
-75
-4.8%

Estimated Graded Values

PSA 10
$175
PSA 9
$90
PSA 8
$60
PSA 7
$50
PSA 6
$40
Auth
$25

* Estimated values based on recent sales data. Actual prices may vary.

View on PSA Registry

BGS Population Report

Demo Data
914
Total Graded
4
BGS 10 (Black Label)
196
BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint)
21.4%
BGS 9.5+ Rate

Grade Distribution

BGS 10(Black Label)
4
0.4%
BGS 10(Pristine)
20
2.2%
BGS 9.5(Gem Mint)
196
21.4%
BGS 9(Mint)
353
38.6%
BGS 8.5(NM-MT+)
123
13.5%
BGS 8(NM-MT)
100
10.9%
BGS 7.5-
118
12.9%

Estimated Graded Values

BGS 10BL
$1,040
$780-$1560
BGS 10
$520
$390-$650
BGS 9.5
$260
$195-$325
BGS 9
$156
$130-$195
BGS 8.5
$117
$91-$143
BGS 8
$91
$65-$117

* BGS 9.5 (Gem Mint) is often considered equivalent to PSA 10 in market value. Black Label commands significant premiums.

View on Beckett Grading

SGC Population Report

Demo Data
251
Total Graded
38
SGC 10 (Pristine)
48
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
15%
SGC 10 Rate

Grade Distribution

SGC 10
38(15.1%)
SGC 9.5
48(19.1%)
SGC 9
104(41.4%)
SGC 8.5
28(11.2%)
SGC 8
30(12%)
SGC 7-
3(1.2%)
View on SGC Registry

SGC Estimated Graded Values

SGC 10 (Pristine)
$266
$209 - $333
SGC 9.5 (Mint+)
$171
$133 - $209
SGC 9 (Mint)
$133
$105 - $162
SGC 8.5 (NM-MT+)
$105
$86 - $124
SGC 8 (NM-MT)
$86
$67 - $105
SGC 7 (NM)
$67
$48 - $86

* SGC's tuxedo holder is popular with vintage collectors. Values based on recent market data.

Crossover Grade Estimator
BGS 9.5
PSA
Crossover Recommendation:Recommended
Success Rate98% (same grade or better)

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10(Gem Mint)
70%
Upgrade
PSA 9(Mint)
28%
Same Grade
PSA 8(NM-MT)
2%
Downgrade
70%
Upgrade Rate
28%
Same Grade
2%
Downgrade Rate

Value Analysis

$293
Expected Value
$84 - $359
Value Range
+$120
Potential Gain
-$156
Potential Loss

BGS 9.5s have a 70% chance of achieving PSA 10, which often commands higher prices in the market. This is one of the most favorable crossover scenarios.

Based on 12,000 historical crossover submissions. Actual results may vary based on card condition and grading standards.
Grading Cost Calculator
$55
Total Cost
$365
Expected Value
+$71
Expected Profit
+24%
Expected ROI
Recommendation:Recommended

Cost Breakdown

$22
Grading Fee
$15
Shipping To
$13
Shipping Back
$5
Insurance

Predicted Outcomes

PSA 10
5%
$838
+$544
PSA 9
35%
$431
+$137
PSA 8
35%
$311
+$17
PSA 7
18%
$263
$-31
PSA 6
7%
$227
$-67
Break-even grade: PSA 10 or better

Positive expected ROI of 24%. Grading is likely to add value, especially if the card achieves a 10 or better.

Estimates based on historical data and market averages. Actual results may vary. Grading fees and turnaround times subject to change.

Verified Sightings

No verified sightings yet

SlabdeX Predictions

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